"Are edge rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter in for a huge day against the Titans? In short: Oh yes. The Texans rank third in pass rush win rate this season (49%), while the Titans are below average in pass block win rate (57%). Star rushers Anderson and Hunter both rank in the top 10 in pass rush win rate at edge and each have multiple sacks on the season, despite the fact that Houston is winless."
"And critically, rookie quarterback Cam Ward is taking sacks at a massive 13% rate -- third-most this season and higher than any QBR-qualified quarterback last season. It's easier to get sacks when leading, and we certainly should expect that to be the case Sunday. My sack model gives Anderson (59%) and Hunter (57%) strong chances to record at least one sack. No other pass rusher is over 52%. Each player has a 22% chance to record two sacks or more, too."
Three stat trends could determine Week 4 winners. The Texans rank third in pass-rush win rate (49%) while the Titans' pass-block win rate is below average (57%), creating favorable conditions for edge rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. Rookie Cam Ward is allowing sacks at a 13% rate, boosting sack probabilities; model projections give Anderson a 59% and Hunter a 57% chance of at least one sack, and 22% chances of two or more. Five under-rostered fantasy players are identified as possible emergency starts, three potential surprise performers are predicted, and a favorite Week 4 betting pick is highlighted.
Read at ESPN.com
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