"Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- find value. Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets."
"With that, let's dive into Week 2. Note: This file will be updated through Saturday with new bets -- including Seth Walder's defensive props -- as the odds become available. Jump to:Game bets | Offensive props Game bets Buffalo Bills at New York Jets total points OVER 46.5 (-110) Solak: Two of Week 1's highest-scoring teams meet in Week 2, and I like the way both offenses match into the opposing defenses."
"Josh Allen, Joe Brady and the Bills fried Aaron Glenn's defense last season with 48 points, with Allen averaging an absurd .46 EPA per dropback. In Week 1, the Jets defense under Glenn looked much the same as his Detroit Lions defense did -- they played man at the third-highest rate of Week 1 and blitzed at the seventh-highest rate. Expect Allen to scramble a lot, whic"
Weekly betting selections seek value across spreads, moneylines, totals and defensive player props. Picks combine player-evaluation and schematic analysis with statistical models to identify positive expected-value bets. All listed wagers are tracked with flat one-unit stakes and use ESPN BET odds. The Week 2 recommendation is the Buffalo at New York total over 46.5, justified by two high-scoring offenses and favorable offensive-versus-defensive matchups. Josh Allen produced high EPA and may exploit the Jets' man-heavy and blitzing tendencies, increasing scramble and big-play potential. The file will be updated through Saturday as additional odds and defensive props become available.
Read at ESPN.com
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]