"Here's what we have: First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down three stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Then fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in under 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday and could be started in a jam. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen predicting three potentially big surprises and sports betting analyst Pamela Maldonado giving her favorite bet for Week 6."
"Can the Chiefs stop the Lions' play-action offense? Ben Johnson might have left to the Bears this offseason, but a staple of his offense remains firmly entrenched in Detroit: the play-action. The Lions are running play-action at a 32.1% clip this season, the second-highest rate in the NFL. And that's potentially bad news for the Chiefs, who are allowing 0.48 expected points added per play (not a typo) to play-action passes -- the most of any team in the league."
"When I see a stat like that, my first reaction is there must be one massive play dragging that average up. In this case, not really. Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence's 44-yard pass to Travis Hunter (worth 2.3 EPA) this past Monday was the No. 1 play. The Chiefs are allowing a 65.8% success rate on play-action plays, second-highest in the league. It should be an easy button for the Lions to press several times on Sunday."
Week 6 NFL coverage previews analytics, fantasy, surprise predictions, and betting angles ahead of Sunday. Detroit runs play-action at a 32.1% rate, the second-highest in the league, while Kansas City allows 0.48 expected points added per play to play-action passes and a 65.8% success rate on those plays. Fantasy options include five players rostered in under 50% of ESPN leagues who could be started in a pinch. Predictions include three potential surprises and a favorite Week 6 bet. Key player matchups and potential interception and betting opportunities are highlighted for the weekend.
Read at ESPN.com
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