"Our matchup rankings provide a schedule-independent method to evaluate positional matchups each week, ranking all 32 opposing defenses in order of most to least favorable for opposing players at all skill positions (quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end). Instead of relying upon season totals, we calibrate points-allowed data to show how each defense fared relative to the difficulty of the schedule it has faced. This provides a fairer approach to judging the quality of individual matchups."
""Adj. FPA," or adjusted fantasy points allowed, reflects how far above or below players' weekly PPR fantasy point averages that defense held opponents at that position. A positive number means that the matchup is favorable; a negative number means it's unfavorable. Also, remember that teams often use multiple running backs and wide receivers in a game, and these plus/minus averages cover a team's personnel at that position."
"Finally, a caveat: Matchups are only one ingredient in my rankings formula. Not every favorable matchup should be exploited, nor unfavorable matchup avoided. If you want my -- and the ESPN fantasy staff's -- most complete source for whom to start and sit each week, consult our weekly rankings. Quarterbacks Matchups highlight: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (at Dallas Cowboys)."
Matchup rankings offer a schedule-independent way to evaluate weekly positional matchups by ranking all 32 opposing defenses for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Points-allowed data are calibrated against strength of schedule to show how each defense performed relative to opponents faced, yielding adjusted fantasy points allowed (Adj. FPA). Adj. FPA measures how far above or below players' weekly PPR averages a defense held opponents; positive values indicate favorable matchups and negative values indicate unfavorable ones. Multiple personnel usage at running back and wide receiver positions is reflected in the plus/minus averages. Matchups form part of a broader rankings formula and require contextual judgment.
Read at ESPN.com
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