"Every week, we generate fantasy football projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will take the ball into the end zone. Here are my top 25 predicted scorers for Week 8, ordered by their implied odds,* as well as the anytime touchdown money line offered by ESPN BET at time of publication. These implied odds are what my projections consider the fair odds of that player to score on an anytime touchdown bet."
"*Implied odds converts the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. If the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided."
Weekly fantasy football projections estimate each player's probability of scoring a touchdown in every game on the slate. The top 25 predicted scorers for Week 8 are ranked by implied odds, which represent the projection system's fair money-line price for an anytime touchdown. Compare implied odds with ESPN BET money lines to find value: implied odds higher than the offered line indicate an advantage for the bettor, while implied odds lower than the offered line indicate a disadvantage. Example conversions are provided to illustrate how to interpret projected probabilities as money lines for wagering decisions.
Read at ESPN.com
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