"There's a storm brewing in Tallahassee, and it's more than just the weather forecast. Miami has been bulldozing opponents in the comfort of its own backyard, but now the Hurricanes pack their bags for their first real test -- a trip to Florida State, where chaos lives under center and the stakes stretch beyond just bragging rights. One team thrives on pressure, while the other thrives in it. Something's got to give, and what happens Saturday could reshape the entire ACC title race."
"Miami is 1-3 ATS on the road against ranked opponents under Cristobal, though its lone cover in that span came against No. 4 Florida State in 2023 (lost game 27-20 as a 15.5-point underdog). Miami's games have gone over the total in 12 of 17 games since last season (2-2 this season). The over has hit in five of their six road games in that span. Carson Beck's teams are 10-4 ATS against ranked opponents (2-0 at Miami, 8-4 at Georgia)."
Miami enters the matchup 4-0, built on pressure, power and control, and now faces its first major test on the road at Florida State. The line lists Miami as a 4.5-point favorite with a money line of -190 and an over/under of 53.5. Miami has been strong at home but has mixed ATS results on the road under Mario Cristobal and an over tendency in many games. Florida State is a rare ranked home underdog and has produced numerous overs under Mike Norvell and versus top-10 opponents. Carson Beck has a solid ATS record against ranked teams.
Read at ESPN.com
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