"Every week, the Heisman and national title odds boards tell a story. Some names surge on box score brilliance, others climb because their teams keep winning, and a few slip because cracks start to show. The lines react to perception, production and the potential of what's ahead. This week's board gave us plenty to chew on. Quarterbacks in surprising places are suddenly in the conversation, while traditional powers keep creeping closer to the front."
"The Hoosiers QB made a big jump this week to the third favorite behind only Oklahoma's John Mateer +750 and Miami's Carson Beck +1100 after Indiana crushed Illinois. On paper, it looks justified. Mendoza has 14 touchdown passes with no interceptions and is completing 76.8% of his passes. That kind of efficiency is what makes oddsmakers move quickly, especially when a quarterback is leading an undefeated team."
"But there's a clear asterisk. Three of Indiana's four opponents were ODU, Kennesaw State and Indiana State. Those games don't tell us much. Illinois was the first real test, and Mendoza delivered, but the sample size is still small. The hype is building because of what could be, not necessarily what already is. With Penn State and Oregon up next, we'll get answers fast."
Odds for the Heisman and national title shift weekly based on recent production, perception and projected potential. Some quarterbacks have moved into contention after strong box-score performances, while traditional programs also climb the boards. Indiana's Mendoza rose to third in Heisman odds after efficient passing (14 TDs, 0 INT, 76.8% completion) and a win over Illinois, but three earlier opponents were FCS or lesser teams, limiting sample strength. Upcoming games at Penn State and versus Oregon will provide clearer evidence. Indiana's balanced offense and stout defense suggest the team, rather than a single player, is driving success.
Read at ESPN.com
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