"Who will score a touchdown this week? Whether you intend to make an anytime touchdown bet, are setting a DFS lineup or enjoy peering into a crystal ball, I have a prediction. Every week, we generate projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will take the ball into the end zone. Here are my top 30 predicted scorers for Wild Card weekend,"
"The implied odds are what my projections consider the fair odds on that player to score on an anytime touchdown bet. *Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor."
Projections are generated weekly for every game on the slate and include each player's probability of scoring a touchdown. The top 30 predicted scorers for Wild Card weekend are ranked by implied odds and paired with the anytime-touchdown money line from DraftKings Sportsbook. Implied odds convert projected scoring probabilities into money lines and represent the projection system's estimate of fair odds. Comparing implied odds to the sportsbook money line reveals betting value: implied odds higher than the offered line indicate a potential advantage, while implied odds lower than the line indicate a projected disadvantage. Examples compare -150 vs -110 and +110 vs -110 to illustrate advantage and disadvantage.
Read at ESPN.com
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