"For perspective, that's like having an eight-point lead with two minutes left in a game. I'm not sure whether people realize how deep OKC is. Last season, the net points metric we use to evaluate players was positive for everyone in the Thunder's rotation and a couple of guys outside of their rotation -- 12 team members in total. In contrast, the Thunder's Finals' opponents, the Pacers, had just five players positive in the regular season."
"The Nuggets have a 67% chance of earning a top-four seed, which brings home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. The gap between the Nuggets' starters and their bench was the biggest in the NBA last season. The starters added 7.6 points to their scoring margin per game, and the bench took away 3.8. That pattern has been true for years."
NBA training camps brim with optimism, but BPI provides probabilistic forecasts that temper expectations by projecting playoff seeding and championship chances beyond simple win totals. BPI aligns with Las Vegas on win totals but adds probabilities like chances of a top-six seed or Finals berth and updates daily. Oklahoma City ranks No. 1 overall with a 98% chance of a top-four seed and exceptional depth, with net points positive for 12 rotation or depth players compared with just five for Indiana. Denver sits high with a 67% top-four probability, yet exhibits the league's largest starters-to-bench gap, though summer additions suggest net-points improvement.
Read at ESPN.com
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