"History suggests we'll be only half right, so I'm nominating Purdue and Florida as most likely to deceive. The reasons are that the Big Ten (in Purdue's case) and the SEC (in Florida's) have more contenders to chase the respective league favorites. Ultimately, Bracketology is a prisoner of probability, and it's simply more likely that Houston and Duke ride the wave of their respective conferences to a No. 1 seed."
"Both the Huskies and Johnnies are No. 2 seeds on our board to open the season, but we like the former to win the regular-season crown and the latter to cut down the nets at the Big East tournament. The major difference comes later in March, when Rick Pitino leads St. John's to the Elite Eight and UConn falls in the second round in its chase for Dan Hurley's third NCAA title."
A new men's college basketball season begins with the first in-season projections releasing Nov. 11. Early projections list Houston, Purdue, Florida and Duke as the four No. 1 seeds, though Purdue and Florida appear most vulnerable because of stronger competition in the Big Ten and SEC. Houston and Duke are more probable top seeds. The Big East rivalry between UConn and St. John's is expected to be significant, with UConn favored for the regular-season crown and St. John's the Big East tournament winner; St. John's projects to reach the Elite Eight while UConn exits in the second round. Michigan is favored to break the Big Ten title drought over Purdue.
Read at ESPN.com
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