"Today's US is not only no longer acting within the framework and constrains of its traditional alliances, it is already acting in a manner which can be perceived as being contrary to the interests of some of its allies. President Trump, it seems is even looking towards Russia as a potential business partner; the Kremlin and the White House appear to be quietly normalising commercial and diplomatic relations."
"prepare for the worst; that is, we must prepare for the fact that the US may no longer be a reliable ally and may well become a separate actor, pursuing a narrow understanding of its national interests."
"in many respects we are on the potential cusp of war and that kinetic war may come to us when we least expect it, sooner rather than later."
The US under President Trump is prioritising American national interests and may not guarantee NATO collective defence, placing NATO Article 5 commitments in doubt. The erosion of the international rules-based order and a warming of US-Russia commercial and diplomatic ties increase strategic risk to allied states. The United Kingdom faces reduced military capacity, including an under-strength Royal Navy and a hollowed-out Army, alongside an apparent lack of governmental urgency. The possibility of sudden kinetic conflict is realistic and potentially imminent. The UK must enhance defence readiness, reassess alliance dependencies, and prepare contingency plans for diminished US support.
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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