
"If the Russians continue this grinding offensive and if they are prepared to take another half a million or a million casualties by, let's say, September next year then they probably get the Donbas. That's how I would assess where the war is at the moment. They are already at over a million now. By casualties, we should say that means dead and wounded - and by wounded, we mean life-changing injuries,"
"A lot of wounds are like that, but these are wounds that take you off the table, so to speak, as a fighter. The casualties are at significantly over a million now for Russia and about, we think 300,000-400,000 for Ukraine. He continued, "The war is at a stalemate in one respect and dynamic in another. The Ukrainians are doing well in the Black Sea, they are doing quite well economically, and they can probably get through this winter.""
Russia has already incurred more than one million casualties and may need an additional 500,000 to one million casualties to seize full control of the Donbas. Casualties are defined as deaths and wounded with life-changing injuries that remove fighters from the battlefield. The invasion that began on 24 February 2022 has left Russia occupying about 20% of Ukraine nearly four years later. Heavy fighting in Pokrovsk is producing an estimated 700–800 killed or wounded each day in that area. Ukrainian casualties are estimated at roughly 300,000–400,000. The conflict combines elements of stalemate and active operations while Ukraine maintains Black Sea pressure and improves energy resilience for winter.
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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