"Russian drones are forcing airports to close and fighter jets are breaching NATO airspace - clear signals of Moscow's widening hybrid campaign. The cost imbalance is stark, with Europe spending hundreds of thousands to destroy drones worth a fraction of that. Emboldened by this asymmetry, Vladimir Putin is escalating with growing confidence, betting that the West will stop short of real retribution, like giving Ukraine long-range missiles to destroy his drone factories."
"Moscow is intensifying its hybrid warfare campaign against Europe in the hope of pressuring governments into concessions. At the same time, Putin on a state of constant confrontation to sustain his regime. Months of U.S. with Moscow under the Trump administration have also achieved little. President Donald Trump insists he is always "two weeks" away from a decision, but the Kremlin calculates it can outlast Ukraine on the battlefield, fracture European unity, and sap American interest. Russia remains defiant, refusing meaningful negotiations."
Russian drones are forcing airport closures and fighter jets are breaching NATO airspace, signaling a widening hybrid campaign against Europe. Europe spends hundreds of thousands to shoot down drones that cost a small fraction, creating a stark cost imbalance that emboldens Moscow. The Kremlin has escalated with incursions into Polish and Estonian airspace and drone disruptions in Denmark and Norway. Moscow aims to pressure governments into concessions while sustaining a state of constant confrontation to shore up the regime. U.S. engagement under the Trump administration has yielded little, and the Kremlin calculates it can outlast Ukraine, fracture European unity, and erode American interest.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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