Perception of Tyler Herro is often affected by the projected contract he will receive in a few years. Herro was selected 13th overall in the 2019 NBA Draft and represents significant draft-slot value relative to his peers. Comparing performance and cost, Herro outperforms several higher selections and second-round contributors when measuring 'bang-for-your-buck.' Top-two picks underperformed relative to expectations, while some second-round bigs provided starting value but lacked high-end impact. The central comparison narrows to Darius Garland and Herro, with Garland viewed as more talented but Herro offering stronger playoff contributions and Finals experience as a rookie.
Quinn recently set out to identify the best value pick from every NBA draft since 2000. The exercise, he notes, is not about selecting the biggest or most accomplished name. It's about figuring out "who got the most bang for their buck with draft slot" factored into the equation. Upon arriving at the 2019 class, Quinn settled on Herro, who was selected 13th overall. For both the Heat and Herro, this choice amounts to validation.
The real debate here comes down to Darius Garland at No. 5, and Tyler Herro at No. 13. Garland is better, and there's some irony in this being the debate seeing as how Garland spoke openly about hunting Herro in pick-and-roll last postseason. But it'd be hard to call him eight slots better than Herro given his relatively uninspiring postseason track record. Herro made the Finals as a rookie in 2020, and has proven a capable postseason weapon on offense.
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