The Numbers Game: Can Southampton pull off another FA Cup upset against Man City? - Soccer News
Briefly

The Numbers Game: Can Southampton pull off another FA Cup upset against Man City? - Soccer News
"Manchester City has enjoyed a strong record against Southampton in recent years, winning 5-0 in 1909-10, 3-1 in 2006-07, and 4-1 in 2021-22. Southampton has lost 13 of their last 18 matches against City, with their most recent encounter ending in a 0-0 draw in May 2025."
"City is given a 74.7% chance of reaching a fourth consecutive FA Cup final, a feat never achieved in the competition's history. Southampton's chances of victory are only 10.8%, with a 14.5% chance of the match going to extra time."
Manchester City and Southampton compete in the FA Cup semi-finals, with City pursuing a domestic treble after winning the EFL Cup. City has reached the last three finals but last won the FA Cup in 2022-23. Southampton, the only Championship team remaining, aims to upset City, who have historically performed well against them. The Opta supercomputer gives City a 74.7% chance of winning, while Southampton's chances are significantly lower at 10.8%, with a 14.5% chance of a draw leading to extra time.
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