"For simplicity, the players are ranked by the size of their projected guaranteed contracts, including the posting fee for foreign professionals, so technically it's by the projected total cost to the signing team. (There are a number of players from Japan's NPB and Korea's KBO listed -- that's meant to be all the players who could in theory come to MLB; not all of them will this winter.)"
"a team can offer a pending free agent a one-year, $22.025 million deal that he can accept, or the team gets compensation if he signs elsewhere -- and I see 10 players who should be offered the QO (I added an asterisk to their projected contracts). That happens to be every free agent projected for over $50 million who is eligible to get the QO, and one player who seems to be borderline: Lucas Giolito."
"Here are last year's projections to get a feel for how I did. One measure is to compare my projections with the actual contracts. There were 124 players I projected to get big league deals who did sign one -- I projected $3.58 billion in guarantees and those players received $3.44 billion in guarantees. I project overall spending this winter at a hair over $3.5 billion."
Players are ranked by projected guaranteed contracts, including posting fees for foreign professionals. The rankings include NPB and KBO players who could theoretically come to MLB. Contract projections combine opinions of analysts, agents and executives and aim to predict contract outcomes rather than determine player worth. A one-year, $22.025 million qualifying offer is available, and ten free agents should receive it, covering every projected free agent over $50 million who is eligible plus one borderline case, Lucas Giolito. Last season projections estimated $3.58 billion in guarantees for 124 projected signees, who received $3.44 billion. Overall offseason spending is projected at just over $3.5 billion.
Read at ESPN.com
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