"Historically, Cade Smith has taken the fWAR-for-relievers crown in each of the last two seasons, by a nose. Before that, you have a procession of Tanner Scott, Edwin Diaz, Liam Hendriks (three seasons in a row), Blake Treinen, and Kenley Jansen (twice in a row). Projections-wise, Steamer has Mason Miller as the preseason/on-paper champ in this regard right now,"
"but if he ends up starting, Jhoan Duran is up next, with a bunch of guys like Smith, Aroldis Chapman, Griffin Jax, Josh Hader, and Grant Taylor (who?) also in the mix. If you try to remove leverage-based choice from the equation, there are also guys like Edwin Diaz, Jeremiah Estrada, and Bryan Abreu in the mix."
Forecasting relievers remains highly uncertain, yet MLB teams continue to invest heavily in bullpen talent during the offseason. Cade Smith won fWAR-for-relievers the past two seasons, following winners Tanner Scott, Edwin Diaz, Liam Hendriks (three consecutive seasons), Blake Treinen, and Kenley Jansen. Steamer currently projects Mason Miller as the preseason fWAR leader for relievers in 2026. If Miller returns to a starting role, Jhoan Duran becomes the next projected leader. Other candidates include Cade Smith, Aroldis Chapman, Griffin Jax, Josh Hader, and Grant Taylor. Removing leverage-based choices shifts attention toward Edwin Diaz, Jeremiah Estrada, and Bryan Abreu.
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