"Note: Matchup odds come from Doolittle's formula using power ratings as the basis for 10,000 simulations to determine the most likely outcomes. Team temperatures are based on Bill James' formula for determining how "hot" or "cold" a team is at any given point; average is 72°. At last! Super-fans of 1977 expansion have been waiting for this LCS matchup since the early days of the Carter administration."
"The two strongest division champs in the AL are vying to end long World Series droughts. Toronto hasn't won the title in 31 years, and Seattle has never won it. The great Willie Horton was among the first players to play for both franchises. Even though he's best remembered as a Tiger and has a statue outside of Comerica Park, they should still let him throw out the first pitch in Seattle and Toronto. -- Bradford Doolittle"
The 2025 American League Championship Series begins Sunday in Toronto between the No. 2 Seattle Mariners and No. 1 Toronto Blue Jays. Seattle advanced by outlasting the Detroit Tigers in a dramatic ALDS Game 5 while Toronto eliminated the New York Yankees two days earlier. Matchup odds use Doolittle's simulations and team "temperatures" rely on Bill James' formula. Both franchises began in the 1977 expansion and have never faced stakes like this; Toronto's last title was 31 years ago while Seattle has never won a World Series. Both clubs show star power and similar run differentials, with Seattle trending slightly hotter late in the season.
Read at ESPN.com
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