"Just as baseball's postseason chase has entered the stretch run, those vying for individual honors are running out of time to make their cases. This is our fourth and final Awards Watch of the regular season, and with that in mind, we've changed up our usual format to narrow the focus of each race to the leading contenders in each category. What races are all but decided? Which ones remain very much up in the air? Let's dig in."
"What is AXE? AXE is a rating system developed to combine the results from the leading publicly available value metrics to create a consensus evaluation of each player. These include bWAR, fWAR, win probability added and championship probability added. The ratings for each system are combined using standard scores and weighted to best fit the current standings. The results are expressed as an index, with 100 as average, 110 as one standard deviation above, 120 two standard deviations above, 90 one standard deviation below, etc."
The awards races have entered the final stretch as the regular season winds down and time runs out for individual campaigns. The coverage narrows focus to the leading contenders in each category to identify near-consensus races and those still undecided. In the American League MVP race, Aaron Judge (153 AXE) and Cal Raleigh (144 AXE) are the top contenders, with Judge favored heavily in betting markets (-350, 78%); several players cluster closely behind. AXE aggregates public value metrics including bWAR, fWAR, win probability added and championship probability added into a standardized index. A manager-focused version called EARL adjusts for postseason balloting factors.
Read at ESPN.com
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