"There's never been any indication Skubal and the Tigers were close on a contract extension, nor is there a sign the team's willingness to trade him has changed. Steve Adams and I differ on the likelihood of an offseason trade happening. In a discussion last week, Steve pegged the chances of a Skubal trade this winter at 0.25%. I'm more in the range of 5-10%."
"I think the Tigers would be crazy to truly make Skubal available. They're just not going to be better in 2026 without him, regardless of the return, unless you're just banking on Skubal getting hurt. He's the best pitcher in baseball (sorry, Paul Skenes, but you can be No. 2 for now). I would absolutely just ride out the year and try to sign him in free agency."
Tarik Skubal is a highly valued starting pitcher linked to trade interest, including from the New York Mets. A one-year acquisition of Skubal would demand a high prospect cost because of his elite performance and limited control. Freddy Peralta is viewed as a more affordable alternative with similar short-term value and potential organizational fit, especially given front-office relationships. Probability estimates for an offseason Skubal trade range from near negligible to modest, reflecting disagreements about the Tigers' willingness to trade a top starter during a competitive window. No public extension talks between Skubal and the Tigers exist.
Read at MLB Trade Rumors
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