MLB Draft Lottery Look-In: September 26
Briefly

MLB Draft Lottery Look-In: September 26
"That's more like it, fellas. There are really only two things that matter at this point - tanking and Drake Baldwin. By fWAR, Baldwin is currently having the most valuable rookie season in the National League at exactly 3 wins. Chad Patrick, Cade Horton, Caleb Durbin, Isaac Collins, and Jakob Marsee are all within a solid argument of taking home the award themselves."
"On a per game basis, Baldwin is still better than the other hitters with the exception of Marsee, but his 53 games and .376 BABIP probably ultimately disqualify him. He's been good and probably will be pretty good, but I don't think he's 6 win good. It's hard to directly compare to pitchers, but their peripherals aren't quite actually as good as their ERA results."
"Aaron Nola had a perfect game going into the sixth, and he ended up pitching 8 innings, giving up two hits, one run in a Christian Vazquez of all people home run, and none strikeouts, before Jhoan Duran made things interesting in the ninth. The Phillies scattered a few runs off off Joe Ryan, who went five innings and struck out nine himself, but he gave up a couple runs."
"Old Friend Shea Langeliers walked them off with a double in the ninth, "spoiling" the mid-est of starts by Mason Barnett. Noah Cameron, having a solid rookie season of his own, had a mid-er (?) start, though. The bullpens did a fantastic job until L. Avila gave up the game-winner. I had Luis Avila flashbacks seeing that, but it's Luinder Avila."
Only tanking and Drake Baldwin matter for the race. Baldwin leads NL rookies by fWAR with three wins. Several rookies—Chad Patrick, Cade Horton, Caleb Durbin, Isaac Collins, and Jakob Marsee—remain close. Baldwin's per-game hitting is strong except compared to Marsee, but his 53 games and .376 BABIP likely hurt award chances. Pitcher peripherals do not fully align with ERA. The Pirates remain five games ahead in the Lottery Race affecting standings. Aaron Nola carried a perfect game into the sixth, finished eight innings, allowed two hits and one run on a Christian Vazquez homer. Joe Ryan struck out nine over five innings but allowed runs. Bullpens were solid until Luinder Avila surrendered a walk-off double by Shea Langeliers.
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