"Ohtani, the holder of three MVP trophies, is one away from being one of two players with four or more MVP awards. The only other one is Barry Bonds -an astounding seven-time MVP himself. More news: Dave Roberts on Roki Sasaki Returning to Dodgers This Season: 'Anything's Possible' At this stage in the season, Ohtani is closing in on yet another 50-homer year. All of the advanced analytics seem to support his case purely as a hitter without any of the impact he's begun making on the mound as a pitcher. The other player most commonly linked with Ohtani in 2025 as a possible National League MVP candidate is soon-to-be free agent Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies."
"Ohtani seems to have a stranglehold on this one, especially since the betting markets favor Schwarber as his leading challenger. Nothing against Schwarber, who is having an epic season, but the metrics don't support that at all. On the contextual side, Ohtani leads the NL in win probability added and championship probability added. Soto is second in both categories, and Schwarber is out of the top 10. Again: Advantage Shohei."
"Ohtani appears to have his fourth MVP trophy - and third straight - all but in the bag. Only Barry Bonds (seven) has won more often. And only Bonds, who won each season from 2001 to 2004, has won three seasons in a row."
Shohei Ohtani seeks a fourth MVP trophy and would join Barry Bonds as the only players with four or more MVP awards, with Bonds holding seven. Ohtani is closing in on a 50-homer season while also contributing on the mound as a pitcher. Advanced analytics favor Ohtani as a hitter independently of his pitching impact. Ohtani leads the National League in win probability added and championship probability added, with Juan Soto second in those metrics. Kyle Schwarber, despite strong counting stats and betting-market support, ranks outside the top 10 in those contextual metrics.
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