2026 PECOTA Projections: Dodgers Lead MLB In Wins
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2026 PECOTA Projections: Dodgers Lead MLB In Wins
"The 2026 PECOTA projections from Baseball Prospectus unsurprisingly have the Dodgers remaining a juggernaut by posting an MLB-best 104-58 record. It's the fourth time in the last seven years that Baseball Prospectus has estimated the Dodgers would win at least 100 games."
"PECOTA also gave the Dodgers a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs in 2026, and within that is a 98.3% probability of winning their 13th NL West title in the last 14 seasons."
"Last year, PECOTA gave the Dodgers a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They were the only team that Baseball Prospectus projected as a guaranteed lock for the 2025 MLB postseason."
"The 2026 PECOTA projections also have the Dodgers leading baseball with 851 runs scored. Their lineup includes three former MVP Award winners in Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman."
The Los Angeles Dodgers are poised to become MLB's first three-peat champion in 26 years after signing Kyle Tucker and Edwin Díaz. The 2026 PECOTA projections predict the Dodgers will achieve a league-best 104-58 record, marking the fourth time in seven years they are estimated to win over 100 games. They have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 98.3% probability of winning their 13th NL West title. The Dodgers are also projected to score the most runs in baseball while allowing 649 runs.
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