
"Called up in late May, it took a tiny bit of time to settle in, but then he unleashed an incredible run in July and August before fading down the stretch a bit. On the season, he tallied 2.7 fWAR with an 81 ERA-, 83 FIP-, and 83 xFIP-. Even his xERA was right in line with those other numbers, and he did it all across 21 starts and 123 2/3 innings."
"The only question is where he'd technically rank, given that it also featured Chris Sale, and two guys who were really good previously returning from injury: Spencer Strider and Reynaldo Lopez. ZiPS had little concern about anything in Schwellenbach's profile, generally projecting him to more or less repeat his 2024 success with some slight regression to the mean: 2.6 WAR in about 147 innings (compared to 2.7 fWAR in about 124 innings in 2024)."
Spencer Schwellenbach, a second-round Braves pick in the 2021 MLB Draft, transitioned from a two-way college role at Nebraska where he pitched 18 games as the Cornhuskers' closer. His 2024 MLB debut featured 21 starts, 123 2/3 innings, 2.7 fWAR, an 81 ERA-, 83 FIP- and 83 xFIP-, and strong pitch quality models indicating above-average stuff and command. ZiPS projected a similar profile for 2025 (about 2.6 WAR in ~147 innings). The Braves rotation carried uncertainty with Sale, Strider and Reynaldo Lopez's injury history. A fractured pitching-elbow bone ended Schwellenbach's season at the end of June.
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