"A graph, supposedly used to track the number of US citizens aged between 18 and 22 who identifed as trans or non-binary from 2021 to 2024, was created by American professor of psychology Jean Twenge, in response to claims by right-wing academic Eric Kaufmann that "trans identification is in free fall among the young". In a post on X/Twitter post earlier this month, Kaufmann shared "analysis" that he claimed showed fewer people were publicly identifying as trans. But the research was challenged by journalist Erin Reed, who said it contained "a massive statistical error" by ignoring binary trans people."
"She claimed in a Substack post on 20 October that "identifying as transgender really is in free fall among the young in the US", saying Kaufmann "was right (with what some consider the wrong data, but still right)". Twenge told Fox News the data could be the result of "changes in acceptance" which, she said, would mean "more young adults identified as transgender and/or were willing to identify as transgender in a survey"."
Conservatives and gender-critical activists circulated research claiming transgender and non-binary identification among young US adults fell noticeably between 2021 and 2024. Jean Twenge created a graph using Cooperative Election Study (CES) data in response to Eric Kaufmann's claim that trans identification was "in free fall" among the young. Kaufmann shared analysis suggesting fewer people publicly identified as trans, while journalist Erin Reed said his analysis contained a "massive statistical error" by ignoring binary trans people. Twenge maintained the CES showed declines and suggested changing levels of acceptance could affect willingness to identify as transgender in surveys.
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