"It's really hard to kill the Dodgers. I argued after the 2024-2025 offseason, a very busy one, that the Dodgers weren't really improving their average outcome so much as drastically raising their floor."
"They've added Kyle Tucker and Edwin Díaz while losing nobody who was crucial to the 2025 team. That doesn't mean they're going to be projected to win 105 games or anything, but it does mean that in most of their worst projected outcomes, they're still a playoff contender."
"Their 10th-percentile projection, for example, is 86 wins. Their 2% chance of finishing below .500 is the smallest percentage I've ever projected, a record that now goes back more than 20 years."
"Doomsday for the Dodgers may require an actual doomsday scenario like societal collapse, nuclear war, or a vacuum metastability event."
The Los Angeles Dodgers invested $309 million in outfielder Kyle Tucker and closer Edwin Diaz to enhance their roster for the upcoming season. The team aimed to address bullpen issues and improve corner outfield depth. Despite a strong roster, potential injuries or slumps could impact performance. Projections indicate that even in worst-case scenarios, the Dodgers are likely to remain playoff contenders, with a 10th-percentile projection of 86 wins and a minimal chance of finishing below .500.
Read at Dodgers Nation
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