"Neither Wales nor Italy can win the Six Nations this weekend, nor exert any influence on its outcome. It is mathematically possible for Wales to knock England into last place for the first time in the extended championship's history, but students of mathematics needn't bother."
"Italy have more chance of finishing in the top three for the first time, but it remains a long shot. They would have to win with a bonus point to have a chance of overhauling Ireland in third, while covering a deficit of 40 in points difference."
"While three wins would be new territory for Italy, it is not quite a new continent. Two years ago, they managed two wins and a draw and still finished fifth, courtesy of Scotland's four bonus points that year. Italy's marked improvement has changed the dynamic of the Six Nations for everyone."
Wales and Italy face mathematically impossible paths to Six Nations victory this weekend, yet their matches carry significant psychological weight. Wales could historically knock England into last place for the first time, though the probability remains minimal. Italy, showing marked improvement, pursues their first three-win championship and are bookies' favorites for their away match—genuine progress for the team. Wales confronts a third consecutive championship without a win, their last victory occurring in March 2023 against Italy in Rome. Italy's improved performance has shifted Six Nations dynamics, particularly affecting Wales. Coach Steve Tandy has noted an uptick in team performance despite recent struggles.
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Read at www.theguardian.com
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