"The global cyber threat landscape was defined by fragmentation in 2025, driven in no small part by widening geopolitical fractures that threatened the 80-year-old rules-based international order that has kept the peace - at least in the global north - since the end of the Second World War, according to a report. In a cyber threat report published last week, Recorded Future's Insikt Group explored how the conduct of powerful nations - aptly demonstrated by the possibility of a unilateral US takeover of Greenland,"
"Indeed, in some circumstances, legal ambiguity around US actions, particularly those taking place in the Caribbean and Venezuela, has in fact caused some of America's core allies, including the UK, to restrict intelligence sharing. Recorded Future said that strained transatlantic relations were limiting coordinated responses to wider crises such as Russia's four-year war on Ukraine, and that these geopolitical dynamics are directly shaping state behaviour in cyberspace."
Geopolitical fractures in 2025 fragmented the global cyber threat landscape and threatened the post–Second World War rules-based order in the global north. Proposals and unilateral state actions eroded allied trust and strained NATO integrity. Legal ambiguity around US operations in regions such as the Caribbean and Venezuela prompted core allies, including the UK, to restrict intelligence sharing. Strained transatlantic relations reduced coordinated responses to crises such as Russia's war on Ukraine. Sustained law enforcement disruptions of cybercriminal infrastructure produced a more decentralised, modular, and resilient criminal ecosystem. A growing US–China split intensified AI competition while cyber activity shifted from espionage toward signalling, coercion, and disruption with access to identity systems, cloud, and edge infrastructure becoming central.
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