Ray Dalio sees a pattern that shows China killing America's economy. This 2,000-year chart explains why | Fortune
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Ray Dalio sees a pattern that shows China killing America's economy. This 2,000-year chart explains why | Fortune
"The United States emerged from World War II as the undisputed economic superpower, accounting for nearly a third of global GDP at its postwar peak. Prophetically, in 1941, Fortune founder Henry Luce dubbed this era "the American century." The U.S. spent the better part of the 20th century treating its position at the top of the economic order as something close to a birthright."
"In economic terms, America's exceptional share of global GDP was a very real thing from the 1860s through the 1950s, as calculated by the Bank of America Institute, citing thousands of years of data from the Groningen Growth and Development Centre's Maddison Project database, one of the most comprehensive long-run economic datasets in existence."
"The chart plots the share of global GDP held by the world's major powers from the year 1 AD through 2022. What it shows is both humbling and, for anyone paying attention to the current global moment, entirely unsurprising: the world's economic center of gravity is shifting back toward where it spent most of recorded history. Back toward Asia. Back toward China."
The United States emerged from World War II as the world's dominant economic power, accounting for nearly one-third of global GDP. This dominance, termed the "American century" by Fortune founder Henry Luce in 1941, was supported by the concept of American exceptionalism rooted in the nation's founding principles and perceived moral mission. However, historical economic data from the Maddison Project database reveals that America's exceptional share of global GDP, significant from the 1860s through the 1950s, represents an anomaly in recorded history. Analysis of global GDP distribution from 1 AD to 2022 demonstrates that the world's economic center of gravity is shifting back toward Asia and China, where it historically remained for most of recorded history.
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