"Compiled by analysts at GSMA Intelligence and the global mobile trade association's global spectrum team, the Vision 2040: Spectrum for the future of mobile connectivity report is designed to provide guidance to regulators and policymakers as the mobile industry prepares for wide-scale 6G deployments from 2030. 6G mobile networks are generally regarded to become commercialised by the end of the decade, but to date, there is a notable lack of technical standards for what 6G will comprise."
"The report showed that 6G networks are expected to begin commercial deployment in 2030, with significant early roll-outs in China, Japan, South Korea, the US, the GCC states, Europe, Vietnam and India. By 2040, the study forecasts that there will be more than five billion 6G connections, around half of all mobile connections globally, and that 4G and 5G will remain essential, with around two billion 4G and three billion 5G connections still in use."
"Based on the study's demand scenarios, global mobile traffic is forecast to reach 1,700 EB/month in the low-growth scenario and 3,900 EB/month in the high-growth scenario by 2040. The GSMA believes traffic growth will be driven by continued 5G adoption, increasing numbers of "power users" and new 6G-enabled applications including XR, integrated sensing and autonomous systems."
6G networks are expected to begin commercial deployment in 2030 with significant early roll-outs in China, Japan, South Korea, the US, the GCC states, Europe, Vietnam and India. By 2040 more than five billion 6G connections—around half of all mobile connections—are forecast, while roughly two billion 4G and three billion 5G connections will remain. Global mobile traffic could reach 1,700 EB/month in low-growth or 3,900 EB/month in high-growth, equating to 140–360 GB per connection monthly. Traffic growth will be driven by continued 5G adoption, rising "power users" and new 6G-enabled applications including XR, integrated sensing and autonomous systems. Near-term government spectrum allocation decisions are essential to avoid congestion, slower speeds and lost economic opportunity in the 2030s.
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