"We see the winter as being warmer than usual,"
"Nevertheless there is a still a significant chance of a block situation, which can lead to cold temperatures and low wind over Europe,"
"This was looking more likely in November, but there now looks like a pronounced probability of a cold outbreak in December,"
"We know that in a La Nina year, the latter part of the European winter tends to favour westerly winds, so warm and wet,"
Seasonal forecasts from the Copernicus Climate Change Service project a warmer-than-usual European winter driven by La Niña, which tends to favor westerly winds and warm, wet conditions later in winter. Despite the overall warmth, models indicate a significant chance of atmospheric blocking that can produce stable, wind-free spells with freezing temperatures across Europe. Forecasts show a pronounced probability of a cold outbreak in December. ECMWF seasonal models combine oceanic and atmospheric temperature data and stratospheric wind indicators from national services to offer probabilistic guidance relevant to household heating demand and energy policy planning.
Read at The Local France
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