"We're barely into October, so any talk of Oscar front-runners should be taken with a blimp-size grain of salt. That caveat aside, One Battle After Another has indeed established itself as an early 2025-2026 Oscar front-runner, thanks to rave reviews and a few unbeatable narratives (including my favorite: This is the movie we need during these uncertain times.) The other major angle pushing One Battle's Oscar hopes along is that, well, it may just be Paul Thomas Anderson's time."
"Since 1997 and Boogie Nights, Anderson's films have earned 28 total nominations, with 11 of those nominations credited to Anderson himself, either as director, screenwriter, or producer. Thus far, Anderson has gone 0-for-11, placing him right near the top of the all-time list of most notorious Oscar snubees. The obvious reason why a filmmaker as seemingly respected as PTA can go winless in 11 cracks at the Academy Award is that every Oscar year, and every Oscar category therein, is its own unique beast."
One Battle After Another has emerged as an early 2025–2026 Oscar front-runner, buoyed by rave reviews and narratives such as "This is the movie we need during these uncertain times." The film's awards momentum is amplified by the idea that Paul Thomas Anderson could finally win an Academy Award after roughly 30 years of filmmaking. Since 1997's Boogie Nights, Anderson's films have collected 28 nominations, with 11 personally credited to him, yet he remains 0-for-11. Factors affecting his Oscar history include the unique dynamics of each awards year, modest box-office returns, and an unsentimental aesthetic that can contrast with the Academy's historical preference for sentimentalism.
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