"The transatlantic relationship has moved well beyond the familiar cycle of American complaints about European free-riding. Trump has publicly called NATO 'obsolete' and described allied nations as 'delinquent' on defence spending."
"European NATO members possess substantial demographic and economic advantages over Russia. However, Europe currently lacks a significant portion of the deployable capabilities needed for its own defence."
"The International Institute for Strategic Studies estimated in early 2025 that replacing US enablers would cost European allies between €500 billion and €700 billion over ten years."
"The Kiel Institute for the World Economy put the figure higher, at roughly €800 billion, when accounting for the full range of military capabilities needed."
NATO is approaching a potential crisis as US attendance at the upcoming summit remains uncertain. European members are now facing a security vacuum that they had long believed would not occur. The transatlantic relationship has deteriorated, with significant shifts in rhetoric and expectations. European NATO members possess demographic and economic advantages over Russia, yet lack essential deployable capabilities for defense. Estimates suggest that replacing US military support could cost European allies between €500 billion and €800 billion over the next decade.
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