"It's impossible to predict whether or not we're going to get a snowstorm on a certain day during the first month of the year, but patterns tend to establish themselves during the winter, though they can be tough to unlock. December brought us a cold and dry month with about half the normal amount of precipitation. Temperatures were just over 4 degrees below average with eight days of above-average temperatures and the rest colder than average."
"Most of the models agree that January itself will average colder. Looking at the American and European models, both keep some of the coldest air compared to average in the northeast corner of the country. This follows what December looked like, with our region experiencing some of the colder temperatures when compared to what you would typically expect. Precipitation is also forecast to be near or below average in January."
"Now, we could have a snowy January and still have less-than-average precipitation. This is because 10 inches of snowfall typically could yield 1 inch of melted precipitation. If we had 2 inches of melted precipitation in January and all of it fell as snow, we'd end up with 20 inches, which would be significantly above average in an overall dry month. I'm not saying that's going to happen, but there is a path to a dry, cold, and snowy month."
January 2026 is expected to average colder than normal, with the coldest departures centered in the Northeast. December was cold and dry, about four degrees below average with roughly half the normal precipitation. Most meteorological models keep colder-than-average air in the northeastern corner of the country. Precipitation for January is forecast near or below average, and much of the Northeast remains in drought despite the dormant season. Heavy snowfall can still occur while overall liquid-equivalent precipitation stays low because high snow-to-liquid ratios can produce large snow totals from modest precipitation amounts.
Read at Boston.com
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