Think this is bad? Temperature records will be broken for 5 YEARS
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Think this is bad? Temperature records will be broken for 5 YEARS
Parts of the UK are experiencing a spring heatwave with temperatures reaching 35.1°C. Scientists warn that global temperature records will continue to be broken for at least another five years. The hottest-year record set in 2024 is expected to be surpassed at least once between now and 2030. Global temperatures are projected to remain between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above the 1850–1900 average over the next five years. A warming pattern expected to begin in July suggests the current extreme heat may be an early phase. Warm Pacific Ocean waters may indicate a possible super El Niño, with an El Niño predicted for late 2026 and increased chances for 2027 to be record-breaking. There is a 75% chance that the five-year average from 2026 to 2030 exceeds the 1.5°C Paris limit, and at least one year is almost certain to exceed it.
"Experts say it is almost certain that the record for hottest year, last set in 2024, will be smashed at least once in the next five years. According to their analysis, global temperatures over the next five years will range between 1.3°C (2.3°F) and a sweltering 1.9°C (3.4°F) above the 1850-1900 average. And with the warming weather pattern expected to kick in this July, scientists suggest that this week's extreme heatwave is just the beginning."
"In an ominous finding, researchers also found warm waters gathering in the Pacific Ocean, which may be a sign that a 'super El Niño' season is on its way. Dr Leon Hermanson, meteorologist at the Met Office and lead author of the report, says: 'There is an El Ni1o predicted for the end of 2026, which increases the chances of the following year, 2027, being the next record-breaking year.'"
"Scientists predict there is a strong (75 per cent) chance that the average temperature for all five years between 2026 and 2030 taken together will exceed the 1.5°C (2.7°F) warming limit laid out in the Paris Agreement. It is also almost certain that the average temperature for at least one individual year in this period will exceed the 1.5°C (2.7°F) threshold. In signing the Paris Agreement, nations committed to holding global temperature increase well below 2°C (3.6°F) above pre-industrial levels and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C (2.7°F)."
Read at Mail Online
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