NYC is set to have a warmer-than-average fall, according to new data from the National Weather Service

""It's much more difficult to predict climate swings versus the day-to-day weather," . "It's kind of like a cascading effect where you only have so many options for what we can for weather tomorrow. And then you look three days from now, five days from now, seven days from now. And it gets harder and harder to predict what could happen because you'll have more possibilities.""

"The National Weather Service says New York is likely in for a warmer-than-usual fall, even as the calendar insists summer is behind us. While the Old Farmer's Almanac predicted a cooler, drier October, federal meteorologists are throwing cold water on that claim. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which oversees the NWS, reports a 40- to 50-percent chance of above-average temperatures for the Northeast through November. Translation: more lingering iced coffees and fewer urgent jacket dashes."

Federal forecasts assign a roughly 40–50 percent probability of above-average temperatures across the Northeast through November. An alternate prediction called for a cooler, drier October, but the federal outlook favors milder conditions. Predicting longer-term climate swings is substantially harder than forecasting day-to-day weather because cascading atmospheric effects multiply possible outcomes over time. Warmer falls can delay peak foliage, prolong allergy seasons by extending pollen lifespans, sustain summerlike heat waves, raise cooling energy costs, and extend wildfire risk later into the year. Recent data show autumns trending warmer since the early 1900s, with last fall the hottest nationwide in 130 years.

Read at Time Out New York