"To answer that question, we need to understand how easy or hard it is for first- and second-round rookie pass rushers to have an immediate impact in their first year in the NFL. Which is why today we'll look at the 31 pass rushers drafted within the Top 50 picks of the NFL draft over the last five years and figure out what level of performance you can reasonably expect in their rookie seasons."
"When you draft in the Top 50, you expect to draft an immediate starter (nine 0r more starts), you would like the player to achieve a PFF Rating above 70 (everything above 70 is considered "above average" by PFF), you'd hope for six sacks in the player's rookie season, and eight sacks in year two, and you'd like to see a Pass Rush Win Rate above 10 in the first year and above 12 in the second year."
Pre-draft speculation centers on the Cowboys possibly selecting a pass rusher in the first two picks, but a first- or second-round pick may not automatically fix the pass rush. Analysis focused on 31 pass rushers drafted inside the Top 50 over the past five years, measuring how quickly they became starters, ProFootballFocus (PFF) grades, sacks, and Pass Rush Win Rate (PRWR). Expectations for Top-50 picks were set as immediate starters, PFF ratings above 70, six rookie sacks and eight in year two, and PRWR above 10 in year one and above 12 in year two. Micah Parsons and Donovan Ezeiruaku emerged as notable standouts.
Read at Blogging The Boys
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