"Bitcoin price 's most popular top-calling indicators failed to trigger during the latest bull market, leaving observers questioning whether the underlying data is now broken. This analysis examines several widely used tools, explores why they underperformed this cycle, and outlines how they can be adapted to Bitcoin's evolving market structure. On the Bitcoin Magazine Pro Price Forecast Tools indicator, the latest bull market never reached several historically reliable top models such as Delta Top, Terminal Price,"
"The MVRV Z-Score 2-Year Rolling metric has been a core tool for identifying overheated conditions, but in this cycle, it did not call the bull market peak particularly well. It registered a major spike as Bitcoin first pushed through the $73,000-$74,000 zone, yet failed to give a clean exit signal for the later stages of the advance. Currently, the metric is printing the most oversold readings on record."
Several historically reliable top-calling indicators failed to trigger during the latest Bitcoin bull market, including Delta Top, Terminal Price, Top Cap, the Bitcoin Investor Tool, and the Pi Cycle Top Indicator. Many models either remained untested or provided imprecise timing and price signals. Bitcoin's market structure, liquidity, and participant mix have changed, reducing the frequency of earlier exponential upside and violent cycle tops. Indicators that used fixed thresholds underperformed and produced ambiguous signals. Recalibrating metrics, shortening rolling windows (for example, MVRV from two years to six months), and shifting to dynamic, time-sensitive thresholds can restore usefulness.
Read at Bitcoin Magazine
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