Solana trades around $84, down 42% from a January high and near an April low around $68. The Alpenglow upgrade is the largest consensus replacement in Solana’s history and is in validator testing, with mainnet possible as early as Q3. Alpenglow replaces the current Proof-of-History and TowerBFT consensus with Votor for faster voting and Rotor for faster block distribution. Transaction finality is expected to drop from 12.8 seconds to about 150 milliseconds, and about 75% of block space is freed by removing on-chain voting transactions, which can reduce fees. Timing depends on testing and security audits, with late Q3 to early Q4 viewed as the most reliable activation window. If launched on schedule and Bitcoin stays above $80,000, SOL could target $100 to $150 around the mainnet event, while delays could increase uncertainty and risk.
"If Alpenglow launches on schedule in late Q3 and Bitcoin holds above $80,000, we think SOL has a real shot at reaching $100 to $150 around the mainnet event—a 19% to 79% gain from today's $84, with the top of that range depending on the wider market."
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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