"Team USA moves on if Italy beats Mexico: Italy would win the pool at 4-0 and Team USA would finish second at 3-1 (ahead of Mexico's 2-2 mark). If Mexico beats Italy and Mexico scores five or more runs in nine innings, Mexico and Team USA would then advance."
"Given the round-robin format of the WBC opening round, ties are to be expected in pool play. This is how the teams moving on are decided. While a two-team tiebreaker scenario is very straightforward, it gets decidedly more complicated when three teams finish with the same record, with the tiebreaker decided in this order."
"Heading into Wednesday's Pool B finale, this is how the three teams vying to move on in stack up in runs allowed per defensive out (and a lower quotient is better). Team USA: 11 runs allowed, 54 defensive outs. 0.2037 quotient; Mexico: Five runs allowed, 24 defensive outs. 0.2083 quotient; Italy: Six runs allowed, 27 defensive outs. 0.2222 quotient."
Team USA faces elimination from the World Baseball Classic after losing 8-6 to Italy in pool play. The team's advancement to the quarterfinals now depends entirely on Wednesday's Italy-Mexico matchup. If Italy wins, Team USA advances as the second-place team with a 3-1 record. If Mexico wins by scoring five or more runs, both Mexico and Team USA advance. Team USA is eliminated if Mexico wins by fewer than five runs. The WBC uses a complex tiebreaker system for pool play, with runs allowed per defensive out being the primary metric when teams finish with identical records.
Read at ESPN.com
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