"Pick the Nuggets (+4.5) to Cover In the Thunder's 49 games this year, they have 23 wins against the spread. The Nuggets have 29 wins against the spread in 49 games this season. So far this season, the Thunder have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 48 times and are 23-25 ATS in those matchups. This year, the Nuggets have won against the spread in each of their six games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more."
"Take the Points Over (227.5) The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 227.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 25 of 49 games this season. This year, 31 of the Nuggets' 49 total matchups have gone over 227.5 total points scored. These teams average 240.4 points per game combined, 12.9 more than the over/under of 227.5."
Oklahoma City is 38-11 and favored by 4.5 points against Denver (33-16) on February 1, 2026, with a 227.5 point total. The Thunder have 23 wins against the spread in 49 games, while the Nuggets have 29 ATS wins in 49 games. The Thunder have been listed as 4.5-point-or-greater favorites 48 times and are 23-25 ATS in those matchups. The Nuggets have covered as an underdog of 4.5 points or more in each of six such games. Both teams average 240.4 combined points per game, 12.9 points higher than the posted total. The Thunder have won 38 of 49 games when chosen as favorites.
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