"The oddsmakers really fancy the visiting Ottawa Senators (-166) over the Calgary Flames (+139) when they face off on Thursday, March 5 at 9 p.m. ET. The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Senators a 62.4% chance to win."
"The Senators have won 53.7% of their games this season when they've been a moneyline favorite (22-19). In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, Ottawa has a record of 6-2 (winning 75.0%)."
"The Flames have been an underdog in 47 games this season, and won 16 (34.0%). Calgary has a record of 3-10 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +139 on the moneyline."
"We expect the Flames (+139 on the moneyline) to beat the Senators (-166 on the moneyline). For the over/under, we pick the over at 5.5 goals."
The Ottawa Senators face the Calgary Flames on March 5 with Ottawa favored at -166 moneyline odds, implying a 62.4% win probability. The Senators have won 53.7% of games as moneyline favorites this season and 75% when favored at -166 or shorter. Calgary, as an underdog, has won only 34% of underdog games and 23% specifically at +139 or longer odds. Both teams have injury concerns affecting their rosters. Despite Ottawa's favorable odds, predictions favor Calgary to upset the Senators, with the game expected to exceed 5.5 combined goals.
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