"The Raptors are 2-5 against the spread when favored by 8 points or more this season. The Pacers are 8-7 against the spread when an underdog by 8 points or more this year. The two teams average a combined 1.8 fewer points per game, 224.7, than this matchup's over/under of 226.5 points. Toronto and Indiana have seen its opponents average a combined 4.3 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set in this outing."
"The Raptors outscore opponents by 1.6 points per game (scoring 114.0 points per game to rank 22nd in the league while allowing 112.4 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +84 scoring differential overall. The 42.9 rebounds per game the Raptors average rank 21st in the NBA. Their opponents record 43.5 per outing. Toronto hits 1.3 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 11.5 (24th in the league) compared to its opponents' 12.8."
Toronto hosts Indiana at Scotiabank Arena on February 8, 2026, with the Raptors favored by eight and the total at 226.5. The Raptors are 2-5 ATS when favored by eight-plus, while the Pacers are 8-7 ATS as big underdogs. Combined season averages put team totals close to the listed over/under, with Toronto's games averaging 2.5 fewer points and Indiana's averaging 4.8 more than 226.5. Toronto outscored opponents by 1.6 points per game, scoring 114.0 and allowing 112.4, with a +84 differential, 42.9 rebounds per game, and 11.5 threes per game.
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