"The Penguins have put together a 14-12 record when listed as a moneyline favorite this season. Pittsburgh has a record of 12-10 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -119 or shorter (54.5% win percentage). Based on this game's moneyline, the Penguins have an implied win probability of 54.3%."
"The Rangers have won 11, or 33.3%, of the 33 games they have played while the underdog this season. New York has a record of 11-19 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least -101 on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Rangers have a 50.2% chance to win."
"We predict the Rangers (-101 on the moneyline) to score the win over the Penguins (-119 on the moneyline). For the total, we pick the over at 5.5 goals."
The Penguins visit the Rangers at Madison Square Garden on Saturday, February 28, 2026, at 12:30 p.m. ET on ABC. Pittsburgh is listed as the moneyline favorite at -119, while New York is the underdog at -101. The Penguins have a 54.3% implied win probability based on their odds, while the Rangers hold a 50.2% implied probability. Pittsburgh has a 14-12 record as a moneyline favorite this season and a 12-10 record at -119 or shorter odds. The Rangers have won 33.3% of their underdog games this season. Both teams have exceeded 5.5 goals in multiple games. Key injuries include Sidney Crosby for Pittsburgh and Matthew Rempe for New York. Predictions favor the Rangers to win with an over on the total goals.
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