"The Oilers have a 26-22 record when favored on the moneyline this season. Edmonton is 5-2 (winning 71.4% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -190 or shorter. The Oilers have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.5% in this matchup. Edmonton's 56 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 32 times."
"This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 25 times, and won 10, or 40.0%, of those games. Toronto has gone 2-1 when it's been set as an underdog of +158 or more by oddsmakers this season. The Maple Leafs have a 38.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Toronto's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 32 of 56 times."
Edmonton is playing at home at Rogers Place and listed as a -190 moneyline favorite against Toronto (+158). Edmonton’s implied moneyline win probability is 65.5%. The Oilers are 26-22 when favored this season and 5-2 when favored at -190 or shorter. Toronto has been an underdog 25 times, winning 10 (40.0%), and is 2-1 as an underdog of +158 or more. Both teams have seen 32 of 56 games exceed 6.5 goals. Injuries include Oilers: Adam Henrique out (undisclosed); Maple Leafs: Christopher Tanev out (groin), Dakota Joshua out (kidney), Morgan Rielly day-to-day (upper body). Prediction: Oilers to win; prefer over 6.5 goals.
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