"Incarnate Word is 6-4 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season. The Demons and Cardinals average 5.1 more points between them than the over/under of 140.5 for this matchup. Northwestern State and Incarnate Word have seen its opponents average a combined 7.9 more points per game than the point total of 140.5 set for this outing. The average point total for Northwestern State's games this year is 3.3 more points than the total of 140.5 in this matchup."
"Northwestern State has been outscored by 3.5 points per game (scoring 70.1 per game to rank 311th in college basketball while allowing 73.6 per contest to rank 176th in college basketball) and has a -99 scoring differential overall. Northwestern State loses the rebound battle by 3.7 boards on average. It records 27.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 348th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.2 per outing."
Northwestern State (9-19, 7-12 Southland) hosts Incarnate Word (11-17, 6-13 Southland) on Monday, February 23, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. Northwestern State is a 2.5-point favorite at -146, Incarnate Word is +120, and the point total is 140.5. Northwestern State is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 2.5 or more, while Incarnate Word is 6-4 as an underdog by that margin. The teams combine for an average 5.1 more points than the listed total, and opponents have averaged 7.9 more points than 140.5 in those matchups. Northwestern State averages 70.1 points, allows 73.6, has a -99 scoring differential, and is outrebounded by 3.7 boards per game.
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