"Middle Tennessee outscores opponents by 2.8 points per game (scoring 75.4 per game to rank 196th in college basketball while giving up 72.6 per contest to rank 142nd in college basketball) and has a +77 scoring differential overall."
"These two teams average 150.7 points per game combined, 4.2 more than the over/under of 146.5 points. Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.3 fewer points per game (144.2) than this matchup's total of 146.5 points."
"Middle Tennessee has a 3-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more. When it has played as at least a 5.5-point underdog this season, New Mexico State is 1-0 against the spread."
Middle Tennessee (14-14, 8-9 CUSA) faces New Mexico State (13-14, 6-11 CUSA) on February 28, 2026, at Murphy Center. The Blue Raiders are -227 favorites with a 5.5-point spread, while the Aggies are +187 underdogs. The game total is 146.5 points. Middle Tennessee averages 75.4 points per game while allowing 72.6, maintaining a +77 scoring differential. The team ranks 130th in rebounds with 32.8 per game and shoots 9.3 three-pointers nightly at 33.6% accuracy. Both teams have similar ATS records this season, with Middle Tennessee at 11-14-0 and New Mexico State at 11-13-0.
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