"Michigan is 7-8 against the spread when favored by 15.5 points or more this season. The two teams average a combined 17.1 more points per game (169.6) than this game's total of 152.5 points. Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 138.6 points per game, 13.9 fewer than the point total in this matchup. Michigan's average total in matchups this season has been 159.6, 7.1 points higher than the total in this particular game."
"Michigan averages 90.8 points per game (sixth in college basketball) while allowing 68.8 per contest (60th in college basketball). It has a +527 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 22 points per game. The 38.7 rebounds per game Michigan averages rank fourth in the nation, and are 11.2 more than the 27.5 its opponents collect per contest. The Wolverines connect on 9.3 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball), 1.4 more than their opponents (7.9). Michigan ranks 13th in college basketball by averaging 108.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is sixth in college basketball, allowing 82.3 points per 100 possessions."
No. 2 Michigan (23-1, 13-1 Big Ten) hosts UCLA (17-7, 9-4) at 12:45 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026, with Michigan a 15.5-point favorite and the over/under set at 152.5. Michigan is 7-8 ATS when favored by 15.5 points or more, while UCLA is 10-14-0 ATS this season and Michigan is 12-12-0 ATS overall. The two teams combine to average 169.6 points per game, higher than the listed total. Michigan averages 90.8 points, +22 scoring margin, 38.7 rebounds per game, strong three-point volume, and superior offensive and defensive per-possession efficiency, with a notable home scoring boost.
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