Brittney Sykes scored 31 points as the Toronto Tempo defeated the Mercury 98-90 to take a 3-2 record into a Thursday matchup against the Minnesota Lynx, who enter at 2-2. The game tips at 8 p.m. ET on May 21, 2026. Minnesota is projected to cover the spread with a -6.5 line, supported by 26 wins in 50 games against the spread last year and a 19-15-1 record as 6.5-point favorites or more. The over is favored at 172.5 points, with Minnesota games going over 13 times and an average point total of 160.7 last season. Minnesota is also favored on the moneyline at -282, reflecting strong winning rates when favored and an implied 73.8% win probability.
"The Lynx had 26 wins in 50 games against the spread last year. As 6.5-point favorites or more, the Lynx went 19-15-1 against the spread last year."
"The Lynx's 50 games last season went over this contest's total of 172.5 points 13 times. Lynx outings last season had an average point total of 160.7, 11.8 fewer points than this game's over/under."
"The Lynx finished with a 35-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 76.1% of those games). The Lynx had a 28-5 record last year (winning 84.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -282 or shorter."
"The Tempo were not a bigger underdog last season than the +223 moneyline set for this game. The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lynx a 73.8% chance to win. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tempo have a 31.0% chance to win."
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