"When it has played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, Louisville is 14-10 against the spread. In games it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this year, North Carolina is 3-1 against the spread. These teams average 167.5 points per game combined, 5.0 more than the total of 162.5. Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 142.4 points per game, 20.1 fewer than the over/under for this game."
"Louisville's +406 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 86.8 points per game (14th in college basketball) while allowing 71.8 per outing (120th in college basketball). Louisville records 37.3 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) while conceding 30.5 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.8 boards per game. The Cardinals make 11.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball), 4.1 more than their opponents (7.7)."
North Carolina (21-6, 9-5 ACC) hosts Louisville (20-7, 9-5 ACC) as a 2.5-point underdog, with the game total set at 162.5. The Tar Heels have a 16-game home winning streak. Louisville is 14-10 ATS when favored by at least 2.5 points, while North Carolina is 3-1 ATS as at least a 2.5-point underdog. The teams average 167.5 combined points, above the posted total, while opponents average far fewer points than the over/under. Louisville averages 86.8 points and +15.0 scoring margin, strong rebounding and prolific three-point shooting.
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